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Posts tagged with Elections

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2:13 PM

A Study in Contrasts

(or Why You Should Vote Republican)

As Republican-Independent-Libertarian-Constitution Party Oregon State Senate candidate Marilyn Kittelman emphatically declares, “The Choice Couldn’t Be More Clear”:

(emphasis mine)

That settles it for me, I’m voting against that burgling, raping, home invading, career politician Floyd Prozanski (or as some like to call him, that Democrat Floyd Prozanski).

I’m not actually, influenced politically by this mailer sent to my home on a Saturday afternoon.  I’m kind of befuddled though.  Doesn’t Marilyn’s campaign know the “tough on crime” meme is most effective when you give the criminals a name, a la Willie Horton?

There has been much speculation surrounding the recent Citizen’s United supreme court ruling, ranging from those who assert that now foreign-owned corporations can and will spend unlimited money to influence American elections to those who assert that this was a major victory for free (corporate) speech. But really this is just speculation. While the ruling is indeed disheartening for those of us who do not control a majority interest in a large corporation, its ramifications have been subject to the typical Washington politicization.

For one thing, there is no way to say for sure if this ruling will lead to increased direct advocacy/partisan activity by multi-national or domestic corporations. The big caveat to the effect of this ruling is that any corporation that engages in direct advocacy could easily become the target of negative ad campaigns, which would potentially effect their customer base, thus throwing a blanket of discouragement on the political agendas of these businesses. The bad news though, is that opportunists on K street have already solved that little dilemma.

Talking Points Memo reported on a “Public Policy and Law Alert” issued by lobbying giant K&LGates last week. This alert indicated that hope remains for those politically-minded corporations who want to pour copious amounts of money into a direct advocacy campaign, while avoiding the burden and bad-business of public scrutiny :

“Currently, any entity, including a corporation that spends more than $10,000 per year on electioneering communications, must file a disclosure statement with the FEC, sometimes within 24 hours of the date of a communication’s first public dissemination. That disclosure must state who makes the expenditure, the amount, the election to which the communication was directed, and the names of those entities donating $1,000 or more to the entity making the disbursements for that communication. Furthermore, a corporation (or any non-candidate funding an electioneering communication) must state at the end of a television or radio advertisement that “ABC Corporation is responsible for the content of this advertising” and must do so in a clear, direct way pursuant to certain technical requirements…”

“…most corporations will probably proceed cautiously. If such independent expenditures are made, groups of corporations within an industry may form coalitions or use existing trade associations to support candidates favorable to policy positions that affect the group as a whole. While corporations that contribute to these expenditures might still be disclosed, this indirect approach can provide sufficient cover such that no single contributing entity receives the bulk of public scrutiny.   Corporations could further lower their profile in such cases by not making contributions specific to a particular expenditure by that third-party corporation. Such independent expenditures can also take the form of advertisements in “under-the radar” sources, such as ideologically-based talk radio, web-based ads or phone banks.”

The thing that still gets me is how the individuals who make the decisions about how a corporation’s money is spent (ceos, board of executives, share holders) are essentially endowed with more rights than individuals such as me, who have no controlling interest in any corporations. Let me explain :

These folks undoubtedly participate in and have an interest in the affairs of a corporation because they see some benefit for themselves (most notably and commonly – they make money because of their involvement in the corporation). So these individuals are already benefiting from their participation in the corporation because it generates some form of income for them. At the same time, these individuals can donate any amount of money into any political campaign, advocacy campaign and so on. The individuals who comprise the corporation had that right – the same right that I currently have – before this supreme court ruling. But now, they have an extra right, a special right that only these folks enjoy. They get to use funds that are not their own personal funds, that are business funds, to advance their own personal agendas (if controlling agents coalesce around issues).

Imagine a scenario where a state is legislating on minimum wage laws, and for fun, lets place this scenario in a tea party conservative’s fantasy – the state is legislating on abolishing minimum wage laws. Now, it would be easy to see how a corporation that has numerous employees could seek to benefit from the abolition of minimum wage laws, so in our scenario this corporation will be donating copious amounts of cash to not only electoral candidates who support the abolition but also to advocacy groups who support it and to other media campaigns supporting their agenda. This is now their right. On top of the expenditure of business funds, each individual who shares a controlling interest in the corporation may also donate as much cash as they like to support direct advocacy campaigns or electoral candidates.  But the effect of the passing of this piece of legislation, whose chances of passing become greater as more money is funneled into the campaign, is clearly detrimental to and against the interest of the employees of that corporation (both present and future employees). Yet the employees are likely to have zero say in the decision made to donate to such campaigns, even though the money being used is in part a product of their labors. The one caveat in this scenario is that the employees, if unionized, can now use union funds to advance their interests in political issues (however, this is a obscenely disproportionate caveat as the only sector of our economy that is unionized to any significant degree are federal employees).

Why in the world is our government actively creating these scenarios? The supreme court ruled in an astonishing rebuke to the balance of influence in politics, removing any barrier from allowing already powerful interests to leverage their power more greatly. The consequences of such a ruling are uncertain, but the fact remains that the ruling set the stage for a remarkable shift in power/influence in American domestic politics that favors large corporations and foreign subsidiaries over individual citizens.

My opinion remains steadfast that no such change was necessary, as the extra rights bestowed upon corporations were already guaranteed to the individuals who comprise those corporations, and that legislative action or constitutional amending will be necessary to re-align the laws governing political activity with our Constitutional tenet of individual rights.

I know the tea-baggers love them some individual rights and freedoms, but remind me – do they support those rights being granted to corporations ? Are they and the Republicans willing to damn their credibility on and emphasis upon the Constitutional rights of the individual to curry the good graces of their corporate sponsors?

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10:57 AM

Move On, Evan Bayh

So the latest thing to shake up Washington’s frail bones is the news that a conservative blue-dog Democrat from Indiana is not going to seek re-election. Sure, he had an easy 20 point lead over his nearest Republican contender in prospective polls, but the man just has got to be moving along.

What is the problem here though? It seems like from the way people are already reacting to it, that something inconceivable is happening. But really, he is a 2 term Senator – 12 years! Let him go. He has been in Washington too long already.

I’m no fan of political dynasties. Bayh had a certain edge in his pursuit of national politics, as his father was a notable Indiana political figure, which many pundits and pollsters are already saying makes any other Democrat’s chances of winning in Indiana in November slight. But fuck that. For the first time in more than half a century there will not be a single Kennedy in Congress. Yet, we continue to bemoan the electoral downfalls that occur when political dynasties end. The people who comprise these dynasties may indeed be high caliber statesmen and women, worthy of their service to our country, but I refuse to consider the political dynasty as an inherently good characteristic of any government.

There is something to say about political/congressional veterans, those who know how the machine works, in their ability to help grease the gears of legislative agendas. But is that information that cannot be communicated to someone new?

I’m the type of partisan who likes my party’s goals, but lordy do I hate my party’s tendencies. We exalt the virtues of participatory democracy, but somehow that only extends so far. For one thing, why don’t Democrats support Congressional term limits? The logic applies wonderfully to the executive, and the public implicitly accepts that as good for our country. So why does that logic not extend to the Congress?

That is what I mean by how I hate my party’s tendencies. If they ever came out to support term limits for Congress (I have no idea how much/what portion of the public would support this idea – any polls out there?), their whole electoral strategy would be flipped on its head. Political party’s love incumbents. There is no way to hide that fact. But do incumbent politicians do any better for those who elect them than freshmen would?

While I’ve got you on a tangent, I predict that the only way for a Congressional term-limit system to work would be within a public campaign finance system. Maybe that would be the way to get the Dems/Repubs behind this, to ease their purse string concerns over how expensive it would be to elect so many less incumbents. That seems pretty realistic to me though, especially considering how the gridlock and partisanship of Congress has become “common wisdom”.

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10:17 AM

More Iraqi reversals

The news that an appeals court had overturned the banning of over 500 candidates for the March elections came as a boon to the perceptions of the Iraqi government’s oversight mechanisms. But it turns out that Al-Maliki and his party believe such action by the appeals panels of the Central Criminal Court of Iraq is evidence of US interference and that the un-banning was unconstitutional. The whole issue of under whose legitimate authority this decision rests is exactly what the Iraqi government should be probing, and should be rectifying (if indeed this move was unconstitutional); but to claim that this decision was made because of US interference is kind of ridiculous (keep in mind that VP Biden visited Iraq at the end of January to urge the Iraqi gov’t to reinstate the banned candidates in order for this election to be viewed as free and fair, but had little direct success). Not only is the Al-Maliki government taking a page out of the Iranian government’s playbook, but the need to demonize the US’s role is tangential to what the actual concern is over the banned candidates. Juan Cole provides an in-depth analysis of the decision making processes involved in this dispute, and conspicuously the US was never an integral part of the process nor a relevant actor.

The issue has caused the Independent High Electoral Commission to delay the beginning of campaign season in order to allow enough time for the Federal Supreme Court to decide on the constitutionality of the previous reversal.

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9:44 AM

Bla bla blog

Harold Ford, the carpetbagging politician scoping out his chances for a NY Senate run, blogs! What does this new fact mean for New Yorkers and Ford’s potential electoral opponents? Well you can be sure he will be taking every opportunity to trash Sen. Gillibrand and Democrats in general. Of most the notable elements in his anti-Democrat platform that this blog now pushes : “no bank tax is needed right now in New York…The scheduled trial for the 9/11 conspirators in New York City should be moved”

But not to be left out, Ford gives props to the epic-ly consequential victory of Scott Brown :

“SCOTT BROWN’S victory last week in the Massachusetts Senate race…marked the third time in three months that the Democratic Party has lost the support and trust of independent voters. The message these voters sent was clear. With one out of five Americans unemployed or underemployed, President Obama and the Democratic Party need to shift attention away from health care and toward a bold effort to create jobs, improve the economy and rein in the size of government”

So after this statement, am I still to believe that he is a Democrat? Sounds more like he belongs in the Connecticut for Lieberman Party.

The much publicized banning of 500+ candidates from the March elections in Iraq now has a new chapter – an appeals court in the Justice and Accountability Committee temporarily lifted the ban.

So to recap : VP Joe Biden recently went to Iraq to try and work something out with the Iraqi government to lift the ban placed on these candidates, stressing how the elections must be free and fair, and had limited success – only about 50 banned candidates were unbanned as a result of his engagement. But now, the issue has been seemingly rectified not through external influence and domination, but through the oversight mechanisms in the government of Iraq itself.

I’m sure that this decision being made by Iraq itself (not imposed upon Iraq) will do much to allay the concerns of electoral unfairness towards Sunni Arabs in Iraq. Interestingly though, Juan Cole attempts to express a theory on the Iraqi government’ s view of regional politics and power (specifically in regard to Iran) in the context of the banned candidates.

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10:09 AM

The Oregon Blues

Maybe not for long though. With the passing of Measures 66 and 67, voters in Oregon enacted by popular vote the increase of income taxes for those who reside in the top 3% (income > 250,000$/year) and the increase in minimum corporate tax for most businesses (which for decades meant most businesses paid a measly 10$/year in corporate taxes). The revenue generated by this increase (slated at roughly 727$ million) is meant to go towards public education, health care and other social services and was included in the Oregon State Legislature’s current budget.

The folks who railed against this increase saw their narrow interests overwhelmed by progressive populism – the argument for the tax increases relied upon stressing how many people would be negatively effected by the budget shortfall if the measures failed, particularly schools and students who faced the threat of having to cut 3 weeks worth of school days.

Coming on the heels of Democratic losses in a Massachusetts special election, many were quick to jump to enormous conclusions over what this means, and were keen upon drawing parallels between the two special elections. The bravado of the statements made after the Oregon election was much more reserved than those made by pundits after soon-to-be-Sen. Scott Brown’s victory, which included the brilliant analysis by David Gergen of CNN who opined “This is not the time to go out and crusade for liberal causes”.

As a matter of fact though, the two elections are completely tangential to one another, owing to the specific conditions in each coastal state. As to the Oregon vote’s larger interpretation, I think the Nation’s Katrina Vanden Heuvel got it right when she wrote:

“The campaign wasn’t about class warfare, or taking on the banks as evil beasts (though there’s nothing wrong with that!), it was about progressive taxation, an art form in economic policy that has somehow been lost over these many decades. It’s worth remembering that under President Eisenhower the top marginal tax rate was over 90 percent.”