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Posts tagged with Nuclear

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5:22 PM

A Better Direction

After the apparent reversal made by Pres. Ahmadinejad this week, we learn a valuable lesson on the importance of communication in any relationship.

The following remarks, made by Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization, provide some insight into the rational behind the announcement by Ahmadinejad :

“Mr President [Ahmadinejad] made the comment in a subtle way. If you paid attention to his comments, he said: Start the 20-per cent enrichment, but the doors for cooperation are still open and we are still ready for fuel swap. In other words, we – although we will start the 20-per cent enrichment tomorrow – will stop the enrichment as soon as they (West) come to their senses and provide our fuel.”

Clearly, Iran has begun to show their inclination toward directing the negotiations a bit, by applying pressure to the West. I don’t think that this news discredits any efforts made by the international community to peacefully resolve the tensions inherent in Iran’s development of nuclear technology, but it highlights the importance of goal-oriented foreign policy in this case. The US has thrown its support behind the deal brokered by the 5 + 1 talks of this past year, whose goal was to outsource most of Iran’s nuclear enrichment to France while still ensuring that Iran can pursue peaceful uses of nuclear technology to the degree they desire. The main pull towards this deal was the desire of Iran to produce these 20% enriched medical isotopes that are contentious in the West (the argument goes that the gap between 20% enriched and the higher levels needed for weapons is not as large as the gap between the 3-4% enriched and weapons grade). This latest announcement, and the translation of the above statement reinforce Iran’s commitment to using nuclear technology for purposes they see as being benign; the reaction to this statement by the West has been subdued, but a renewed call for sanctions following the statement leads me to hope that patience and reason will prevail.

Its about common interests right? The West ultimately just doesn’t want more nuclear weapons in an area that is already prone to high regional tensions. Why that principle does not apply to Pakistan and India, I do not know, but that is the principle we’ve chosen to defend in terms of Iran’s nuclear program. The opening that still exists to incorporate Iran into an international system that regulates and safeguards the use of nuclear fuel has not been more widely opened in the past. They’ve declared their terms – all they want is assurance that the West will hold up their end of the deal – and now we have an opportunity to remove the drive towards higher enrichment from Iran’s political vocabulary. What sanctions are going to do to make Iran more open to this deal, I do not know. As Juan Cole reads it:

“In a face to face meeting at the beginning of October in Geneva, the West had suggested that Iran send most of its stock of low enriched uranium to another country for enrichment to the nearly 20% that is needed to run its medical reactor. Iran’s hard liners balked at the agreement, however, presumably because they view even a stock of low enriched uranium as a sort of deterrent to a Western attempt at regime change or a military strike on Iran’s civilian nuclear enrichment facilities near Isfahan…”

“Salehi is saying that Ahmadinejad’s announcement was meant primarily to force acceptance of this alternative. At the same time, on Saturday Ahmadinejad seemed to say that he would accept the deal offered by the US in October. US officials were understandably skeptical about this alleged softening of Tehran’s position, and Salehi on Monday seemed to suggest that Iran was making a push for the hard liners’ compromise.”

Foreign Policy’s David Kenner brings us a list of the media’s most prominent Luddites : those in favor of bombing the nuclear technology out of Iran. Kenner describes these characters as a “belligerent minority”, supported by Dick Cheney, whose agitations seem unlikely to influence any opinion in the Obama administration, as “administration officials have strongly suggested they prefer to deal with Iran’s nuclear ambitions through diplomacy and sanctions,”.

At the top of that list is Daniel Pipes , whose recent “…Bomb Iran” article has been making the rounds. I derided his flimsy justification for a complete about-face of US policy regarding nuclear states (politics and ‘public opinion’) here. Next is John Bolton (fmr. US ambassador to the UN), whose favored policies toward Iran also include regime change. Following next comes Norman Podhoretz, whose argument towards urgent military action rests upon an analogy he makes comparing Iran and nuclear power to Hitler. The list finishes with Joshua Muravchik, Thomas McInerney and Max Boot – expect more of the same reasoning (and more mentions of Israel) within these arguments towards war.

I’m glad that elections can bring about change. These are all cats that whisper into the ears of Bush/Cheney (and definitely curry the good graces of McCain – remember, “Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran”?), and I don’t know who in their right mind would argue that another war is what America needs, nay favors, right now. But the important thing is that no one is power is arguing to those ends – thanks to the nearly 67 million Americans who thought otherwise.

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5:19 PM

The Wrong Direction

Over the weekend, Iran stated their intent to enrich uranium to 20% and to build 10 new enrichment plants (reacting to the West’s unresponsiveness to Iran’s nuclear offer). This move also signaled Iran’s intent to allow the IAEA to fully monitor the sites where uranium would be enriched to 20%, which Iran argues it needs to continue to produce in order to provide radioactive isotopes for cancer treatment. This all sounds reasonable when viewed outside of its context, but that context is becoming increasingly looming.

This announced has spurred renewed calls for sanctions in the West, this time the idea being prominently pushed by French President Nicolas Sarkozy and US Defense Secretary Robert Gates. This move is likely to be supported by the US Congress, who as recently as December 09 passed a new gasoline embargo on Iran. As is to be expected, there is still a vocal minority in the US who advocate an all-out war with Iran, including most recently (and visibly) Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Daniel Pipes’ NRO article titled “How to save the Obama presidency: Bomb Iran”. Of the utmost importance to note when considering these urgent statements that advocate more forceful responses (re: Bomb Iran) is that these folks have placed politics as the deciding factor in whether to bomb Iran or not. Here is Pipes’ argument (I’m not paraphrasing, it is literally this shallow):

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7:48 AM

More Important?

Silly me, I thought the fact that Iran’s president informally (but publicly) accepted the terms of a nuclear deal negotiated by the US, UK, Russia, China, France and Germany was significant.

Apparently, a mouse, two turtles and a worm are worthy of more sensational headlines?

I’m a little confused here, haven’t we been sending actual people to live and research in space for decades now? Aren’t we even to the point in our relationship with space that the government is transitioning space ferrying from NASA to the private sector?

Yet somehow, the American media reports direct quotes from Ahmadinejad stating his conviction that “The scientific arena is where we could defeat the (West’s) domination”. Meanwhile an important concession made by the president of Iran in nuclear talks is remaining under the radar – and I was really looking forward to hearing the wide-eyed rantings of Liz Cheney today. Rats. I mean a mouse, two turtles and a worm?